How to confuse with statistics or: The use and misuse of conditional probabilities (2005)

Abstract

This article shows by various examples how consumers of statistical information may be confused when this information is presented in terms of conditional probabilities. It also shows how this confusion helps others to lie with statistics, and it suggests both confusion and lies can be exposed by using alternative modes of conveying statistical information.

Bibliographic entry

Krämer, W., & Gigerenzer, G. (2005). How to confuse with statistics or: The use and misuse of conditional probabilities. Statistical Science, 20, 223-230. (Full text)

Miscellaneous

Publication year 2005
Document type: Article
Publication status: Published
External URL: http://library.mpib-berlin.mpg.de/ft/wk/WK_How_2005.pdf View
Categories: Consumer Behavior
Keywords: heuristical reasoning

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