Beyond the null ritual: Formal modeling of psychological processes (2009)
Authors
Abstract
Rituals shape many aspects of our lives, and they are no less common in scientific research than elsewhere. One that figures prominently in hypothesis testing is the null ritual, the pitting of hypotheses against chance. Although known to be problematic, this practice is still widely used. One way to resist the lure of the null ritual is to increase the precision of theories by casting them as formal models. These can be tested against each other, instead of against chance, which in turn enables a researcher to decide between competing theories based on quantitative measures. This article gives an overview of the advantages of modeling, describes research that is based on it, outlines the difficulties associated with model testing, and summarizes some of the solutions for dealing with these difficulties. Pointers to resources for teaching modeling in university classes are provided.
Bibliographic entry
Marewski, J. N., & Olsson, H. (2009). Beyond the null ritual: Formal modeling of psychological processes. Zeitschrift für Psychologie, 217, 49-60. doi:10.1027/0044-3409.217.1.49 (Full text)
Miscellaneous
| Publication year | 2009 | |
|---|---|---|
| Document type: | Article | |
| Publication status: | Published | |
| External URL: | http://library.mpib-berlin.mpg.de/ft/jm/JM_Beyond_2009.pdf View | |
| Categories: | ForecastingEnvironment StructureProbability | |
| Keywords: | evidence againstformal modelshoweveribility in interpreting amodel selectionnull hypothesis significance testingp -value as indicatingthe arbitrariness of thethe author some flex-the null hypothesisunless converging evidence is |